TY - JOUR
T1 - Electrolyte and metabolic disturbances in Ebola patients during a clinical trial, Guinea, 2015
AU - van Griensven, Johan
AU - Bah, Elhadj Ibrahima
AU - Haba, Nyankoye
AU - Delamou, Alexandre
AU - Camara, Bienvenu Salim
AU - Olivier, Kadio Jean-Jacques
AU - De Clerck, Hilde
AU - Nordenstedt, Helena
AU - Semple, Malcolm G
AU - Van Herp, Michel
AU - Buyze, Jozefien
AU - De Crop, Maaike
AU - Van Den Broucke, Steven
AU - Lynen, Lutgarde
AU - De Weggheleire, Anja
AU - Ebola-Tx Consortium
N1 - FTX; DOAJ
PY - 2016
Y1 - 2016
N2 - By using data from a 2015 clinical trial on Ebola convalescent-phase plasma in Guinea, we assessed the prevalence of electrolyte and metabolic abnormalities at admission and their predictive value to stratify patients into risk groups. Patients underwent testing with a point-of-care device. We used logistic regression to construct a prognostic model and summarized the predictive value with the area under the receiver operating curve. Abnormalities were common among patients, particularly hypokalemia, hypocalcemia, hyponatremia, raised creatinine, high anion gap, and anemia. Besides age and PCR cycle threshold value, renal dysfunction, low calcium levels, and low hemoglobin levels were independently associated with increased risk for death. A prognostic model using all 5 factors was highly discriminatory (area under the receiver operating curve 0.95; 95% CI 0.90-0.99) and enabled the definition of risk criteria to guide targeted care. Most patients had a very low (<5%) or very high (>80%) risk for death.
AB - By using data from a 2015 clinical trial on Ebola convalescent-phase plasma in Guinea, we assessed the prevalence of electrolyte and metabolic abnormalities at admission and their predictive value to stratify patients into risk groups. Patients underwent testing with a point-of-care device. We used logistic regression to construct a prognostic model and summarized the predictive value with the area under the receiver operating curve. Abnormalities were common among patients, particularly hypokalemia, hypocalcemia, hyponatremia, raised creatinine, high anion gap, and anemia. Besides age and PCR cycle threshold value, renal dysfunction, low calcium levels, and low hemoglobin levels were independently associated with increased risk for death. A prognostic model using all 5 factors was highly discriminatory (area under the receiver operating curve 0.95; 95% CI 0.90-0.99) and enabled the definition of risk criteria to guide targeted care. Most patients had a very low (<5%) or very high (>80%) risk for death.
U2 - 10.3201/eid2212.161136
DO - 10.3201/eid2212.161136
M3 - A1: Web of Science-article
C2 - 27869610
SN - 1080-6040
VL - 22
SP - 2120
EP - 2127
JO - Emerging Infectious Diseases
JF - Emerging Infectious Diseases
IS - 12
ER -